All matches

Kongsvinger IL — Ranheim Fotball, First Division

Norway, First Division

Kongsvinger IL
WWDWD
—
Ranheim Fotball
WWDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
61%21%18%
Kongsvinger IL61%Draw21%Ranheim Fotball18%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kongsvinger IL61%1.64—
XDraw21%4.79—
2Ranheim Fotball18%5.46—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes67%

ours 1.48

No33%

ours 3.07

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKongsvinger ILRanheim FotballCombined
Goals scored3.672.836.50
Conceded1.172.173.34
Corners12.011.311.7
Cards1.71.33.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Kongsvinger ILRanheim Fotball

Kongsvinger IL 61%, Ranheim Fotball 18%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.

Kongsvinger IL 61%Draw 21%Ranheim Fotball 18%
1st half
44 · 32 · 24
2nd half
50 · 25 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 1.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Kongsvinger IL

  • awayMoss FK2:0
  • homeIL Hødd5:1
  • awayEgersunds IK1:1
  • homeRaufoss IL9:1
  • homeFC Lyn Oslo4:4

Ranheim Fotball

  • homeEgersunds IK5:0
  • awayFC Lyn Oslo4:1
  • homeÅsane Fotball2:2
  • awaySandnes Ulf1:1
  • homeOdds3:5

Head to head

  • 05/08/26First Division1:1
  • 08/30/25First Division1:1
  • 05/03/25First Division1:2
  • 08/03/24First Division2:2
  • 04/01/24First Division2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Haugesund24181574:3955
2Kongsvinger IL24165370:3553
3Stromsgodset24156361:3151
4Stabæk Fotball24143757:3145
5Odds24116750:3839
6Bryne FK241221033:3138
7IL Hødd241041040:4834
8Ranheim Fotball24941161:5831
9Egersunds IK24851136:4929
10FC Lyn Oslo24841239:4928

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.