Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.49
All matches
—
Kispest-Honved — Debrecen, NB I
Hungary, NB I
Kispest-Honved
1.8LLWLD
Debrecen
1.9LWDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
45%26%29%
Kispest-Honved45%Draw26%Debrecen29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kispest-Honved2.23—
XDraw3.84—
2Debrecen3.43—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKispest-HonvedDebrecenCombined
Goals scored0.831.332.16
Conceded1.331.332.66
Corners9.813.811.8
Cards4.02.06.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Kispest-HonvedDebrecen
Kispest-Honvéd FC 45%, Debreceni VSC 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Kispest-Honvéd FC 45%Draw 26%Debreceni VSC 29%
1st half
42 · 38 · 20
2nd half
34 · 36 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kispest-Honved
- awayPuskas Akademia1:3
- awayETO Gyor2:3
- homeZalaegerszeg1:0
- homeVasas1:2
- awayPaks2:2
Debrecen
- homeVasas2:4
- awayPaks4:2
- homeMTK Budapest2:2
- awayKisvarda0:0
- homeETO Gyor1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
MTK Budapest823315:149
MTK Budapest823315:1498
Kisvarda82339:109
Kisvarda82339:1099Debrecen823312:159
Debrecen823312:15910
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:148
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:14811Kispest-Honved713311:146
Kispest-Honved713311:14612
Zalaegerszeg82067:176
Zalaegerszeg82067:176Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.