All matches

Kifisias — Aris Thessaloniki, Super League

Greece, Super League

Kifisias
1.7WDLLD
—
Aris Thessaloniki
2.3DLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
33%26%41%
Kifisias33%Draw26%Aris Thessaloniki41%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kifisias33%3.03—
XDraw26%3.78—
2Aris Thessaloniki41%2.46—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75

No43%

ours 2.34

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKifisiasAris ThessalonikiCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded1.171.672.84
Corners8.68.08.3
Cards3.82.05.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KifisiasAris Thessaloniki

Kifisias FC 33%, Aris Thessaloniki FC 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Kifisias FC 33%Draw 26%Aris Thessaloniki FC 41%
1st half
29 · 41 · 30
2nd half
32 · 38 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Kifisias

  • awayAtromitos2:1
  • homeLevadiakos0:0
  • awayPanathinaikos1:3
  • awayOFI0:2
  • homeAEK Athens1:1

Aris Thessaloniki

  • homeIraklis Thessaloniki0:0
  • awayPAOK0:2
  • awayAEK Athens0:5
  • homeOFI2:1
  • awayKalamata3:2

Head to head

  • 02/22/26Super League1:1
  • 09/20/25Super League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Olympiakos53114:210
6Panetolikos53028:79
7Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
8Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
9Kifisias51224:75
10Kalamata51136:84
11Atromitos50234:72

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.