Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.42
All matches
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Partizani — Tirana, Superliga
Albania, Superliga
Partizani
1.8LLWLD
Tirana
1.7DDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%28%30%
Partizani42%Draw28%Tirana30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Partizani2.36—
XDraw3.60—
2Tirana3.35—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPartizaniTiranaCombined
Goals scored1.501.833.33
Conceded1.831.673.50
Corners10.29.810.0
Cards0.50.30.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PartizaniTirana
KF Partizani Tirana 42%, KF Tirana 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
KF Partizani Tirana 42%Draw 28%KF Tirana 30%
1st half
39 · 36 · 26
2nd half
30 · 40 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Partizani
- awayEgnatia1:2
- homeDinamo Tirana2:4
- awayVllaznia3:2
- homeLaci1:2
- homeTeuta Durres0:0
Tirana
- homeElbasani2:2
- awaySkenderbeu Korce1:1
- homeVora4:0
- awayTeuta Durres1:3
- awayEgnatia0:3
Head to head
- 04/25/26Superliga1:2
- 02/15/26Superliga2:0
- 12/07/25Superliga2:0
- 10/03/25Superliga0:3
- 04/07/25Superliga0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Laci52127:87
Laci52127:875
Elbasani51317:76
Elbasani51317:766Tirana51228:95
Tirana51228:957Partizani51137:104
Partizani51137:1048
Vora51133:104
Vora51133:1049
Skenderbeu Korce50325:73
Skenderbeu Korce50325:73Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.