All matches

Feronikeli — Dukagjini, Superleague

Kosovo, Superleague

Feronikeli
0.8LLDWL
  
Dukagjini
2.3DWDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
21%25%54%
Feronikeli21%Draw25%Dukagjini54%

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Feronikeli21%4.75—
XDraw25%4.04—
2Dukagjini54%1.85—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes45%

ours 2.23

No55%

ours 1.81

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2671 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2666 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2655 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FeronikeliDukagjini

KF Feronikeli 21%, KF Dukagjini Klina 54%. The safest is “KF Dukagjini Klina or draw” at 77%.

KF Feronikeli 21%Draw 25%KF Dukagjini Klina 54%
1st half
20 · 55 · 25
2nd half
25 · 45 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFeronikeliDukagjiniCombined
Goals scored1.000.601.60
Conceded1.600.602.20
Corners9.46.88.1
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Feronikeli
  • Most corners in the league in their matches — 9.1 per match10 teams in the league
  • Relegation zone: 8th of 10
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
Dukagjini
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:1, 1:0, 0:0, 1:2, 0:0
  • Unbeaten away in 5 matches0:0, 0:0, 2:1, 2:2, 0:0
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 6.9 per match10 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Feronikeli

  • awayGjilani0:1
  • homeLlapi0:1
  • awayDrenica2:2
  • homeLlamkos3:1
  • awayPrishtina0:3

Dukagjini

  • homeDrenica1:1
  • homeLlamkos1:0
  • awayPrishtina0:0
  • homeDrita1:2
  • awayBallkani0:0

Head to head

  • 08/22/26Superleague0:1
  • 04/27/25Superleague1:2
  • 03/01/25Superleague1:0
  • 11/09/24Superleague1:2
  • 08/31/24Superleague0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Gjilani1052314:917
4Drita952211:717
5Dukagjini1045110:617
6Ballkani1041510:1013
7Drenica1025311:1411
8Feronikeli102177:177
9Llapi1020810:246
10Llamkos101096:223

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.