All matches

Dukagjini — Llamkos, Superleague of Kosovo

Kosovo, Superleague of Kosovo

Dukagjini
2.0LDWWD
—
Llamkos
1.4LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
63%23%14%
Dukagjini63%Draw23%Llamkos14%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dukagjini63%1.59—
XDraw23%4.28—
2Llamkos14%7.35—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes45%

ours 2.24

No55%

ours 1.80

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDukagjiniLlamkosCombined
Goals scored1.170.331.50
Conceded0.831.832.66
Corners8.36.77.5
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

DukagjiniLlamkos

KF Dukagjini Klina 63%, KF Llamkos Kosova Vushtrri 14%. The safest is “KF Dukagjini Klina or draw” at 87%.

KF Dukagjini Klina 63%Draw 23%KF Llamkos Kosova Vushtrri 14%
1st half
43 · 45 · 12
2nd half
41 · 40 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 8.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Dukagjini

  • homeDrita1:2
  • awayBallkani0:0
  • homeUjvara2:0
  • awayLlapi2:1
  • awayGjilani2:2

Llamkos

  • awayFeronikeli1:3
  • homeDrenica1:2
  • homeLlapi0:4
  • awayPrishtina0:1
  • homeDrita0:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Prishtina660018:418
2Ujvara751119:616
3Dukagjini73318:512
4Drita63218:511
5Gjilani732210:811
6Ballkani73139:810
7Drenica72328:89
8Feronikeli72055:136
9Llapi71068:213
10Llamkos70074:190

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.