Both teams to score
Yes68%
ours 1.47
No32%
ours 3.12
All matches
—
Keflavik IF — KR Reykjavik, Úrvalsdeild
Iceland, Úrvalsdeild
Keflavik IF
2.1DLLLW
KR Reykjavik
2.2LWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%23%41%
Keflavik IF36%Draw23%KR Reykjavik41%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Keflavik IF2.78—
XDraw4.42—
2KR Reykjavik2.42—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKeflavik IFKR ReykjavikCombined
Goals scored1.002.173.17
Conceded1.671.673.34
Corners11.014.012.5
Cards1.02.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Keflavik IFKR Reykjavik
Keflavík ÍF 36%, KR Reykjavík 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.
Keflavík ÍF 36%Draw 23%KR Reykjavík 41%
1st half
33 · 34 · 34
2nd half
32 · 35 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Goal in both halves: Yes
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Keflavik IF
- homeFram Reykjavik2:2
- awayVikingur Reykjavik1:4
- homeValur1:2
- awayFH Hafnarfjordur1:2
- homeIB Vestmannaeyja1:0
KR Reykjavik
- homeVikingur Reykjavik1:2
- homeIA Akranes5:1
- awayIA Akranes1:3
- homeVikingur Reykjavik1:1
- awayKA5:3
Head to head
- 06/28/26Úrvalsdeild3:2
- 04/12/26Úrvalsdeild2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Vikingur Reykjavik24185173:2359
Vikingur Reykjavik24185173:23592KR Reykjavik24145580:5247
KR Reykjavik24145580:52473
Fram Reykjavik24137459:4746
Fram Reykjavik24137459:47464
Breidablik2496947:4633
Breidablik2496947:46335
IA Akranes2496944:4733
IA Akranes2496944:47336
Valur24941144:4731
Valur24941144:47317
Stjarnan24941146:5531
Stjarnan24941146:55318Keflavik IF24851136:4429
Keflavik IF24851136:44299
FH Hafnarfjordur2469935:4127
FH Hafnarfjordur2469935:412710
KA24651338:5123
KA24651338:5123Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.