All matches

Kayserispor — Batman Petrolspor, 1. Lig

Turkey, 1. Lig

Kayserispor
1.4WWWDL
—
Batman Petrolspor
LLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
61%23%15%
Kayserispor61%Draw23%Batman Petrolspor15%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kayserispor61%1.63—
XDraw23%4.26—
2Batman Petrolspor15%6.60—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes50%

ours 1.98

No50%

ours 2.02

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KayserisporBatman Petrolspor

Kayserispor 61%, Batman Petrol Spor Kulübü 15%. The safest is “Kayserispor or draw” at 85%.

Kayserispor 61%Draw 23%Batman Petrol Spor Kulübü 15%
1st half
44 · 43 · 13
2nd half
50 · 32 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKayserisporBatman PetrolsporCombined
Goals scored1.501.172.67
Conceded0.171.501.67
Corners7.59.38.4
Cards2.31.53.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

Kayserispor

  • awayMardin Buyuksehir1:0
  • homeIstanbulspor4:0
  • awayErokspor3:0
  • awayFatih Karagümrük Spor Kulübü1:1
  • homeBursaspor1:2

Batman Petrolspor

  • homeBursaspor1:2
  • awayBodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü0:4
  • homeFatih Karagümrük Spor Kulübü4:3
  • awayVanspor2:0
  • homeSivasspor2:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Kayserispor861115:319
2Bursaspor861116:719
3Igdir FK851212:716
4Batman Petrolspor851215:1316
5Sariyer842211:914
6Keciorengucu834117:1013

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.