Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.13
All matches
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Kataller Toyama — Shonan Bellmare, J2 League
Japan, J2 League
Kataller Toyama
WDWDW
Shonan Bellmare
DWDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
56%23%21%
Kataller Toyama56%Draw23%Shonan Bellmare21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kataller Toyama1.79—
XDraw4.33—
2Shonan Bellmare4.75—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos: result and total
Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.
Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.
Sign upAverage totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKataller ToyamaShonan BellmareCombined
Goals scored1.331.002.33
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners10.611.010.8
Cards2.41.23.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Kataller ToyamaShonan Bellmare
Kataller Toyama 56%, Shonan Bellmare 21%. The safest is “Kataller Toyama or draw” at 79%.
Kataller Toyama 56%Draw 23%Shonan Bellmare 21%
1st half
34 · 41 · 25
2nd half
52 · 33 · 16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kataller Toyama
- awayVentforet Kofu2:1
- homeYokohama FC3:3
- awayMontedio Yamagata2:0
- homeTochigi City0:0
- awayJubilo Iwata1:0
Shonan Bellmare
- awayFujieda MYFC1:1
- awayFC Imabari2:1
- homeBlaublitz Akita1:1
- awayVanraure Hachinohe1:0
- homeVegalta Sendai1:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Vegalta Sendai962117:820
Vegalta Sendai962117:8202
Albirex Niigata961213:1319
Albirex Niigata961213:13193Kataller Toyama952218:917
Kataller Toyama952218:9174
Omiya Ardija945017:817
Omiya Ardija945017:8175
Yokohama FC952218:1117
Yokohama FC952218:11176Shonan Bellmare944110:816
Shonan Bellmare944110:8167
Fujieda MYFC934213:1013
Fujieda MYFC934213:10138
Blaublitz Akita934212:1013
Blaublitz Akita934212:1013Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.