Both teams to score
Yes67%
No33%
All matches
Kashiwa Reysol — Kawasaki Frontale, J1 League: match prediction and stats
Match prediction and stats
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%23%28%
Kashiwa Reysol49%Draw23%Kawasaki Frontale28%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and second estimate
Our probability next to the second estimate — independent, with no mark-up. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelSecond estimateΔ
1Kashiwa Reysol——
XDraw——
2Kawasaki Frontale——
our modelsecond estimate — independent, no mark-up
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the second estimate.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the second estimate.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Kashiwa ReysolKawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa Reysol 49%, Kawasaki Frontale 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Kashiwa Reysol 49%Draw 23%Kawasaki Frontale 28%
1st half
33 · 38 · 29
2nd half
45 · 30 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 25.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKashiwa ReysolKawasaki FrontaleCombined
Goals scored2.402.404.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Kashiwa Reysol- 12 goals in the last 5 matches4:0, 3:2, 0:0, 1:3, 4:2
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
- 2.3 goals per game at home7 matches
Kawasaki Frontale- 3 wins in a row2:1, 2:1, 4:2, 1:2, 3:3
- 12 goals in the last 5 matches2:1, 2:1, 4:2, 1:2, 3:3
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Kashiwa Reysol
- homeUrawa Reds4:0
- awayKashima Antlers3:2
- awayFC Tokyo0:0
- homeNagoya Grampus1:3
- homeVissel Kobe4:2
Kawasaki Frontale
- homeFagiano Okayama2:1
- homeVissel Kobe2:1
- awayCerezo Osaka4:2
- homeNagoya Grampus1:2
- homeKashima Antlers3:3
Head to head
- 09/28/25J1 League4:4
- 02/22/25J1 League1:1
- 07/20/24J1 League2:3
- 05/25/24J1 League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Japan, J1 League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the second estimate on the right.
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Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.