Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.13
All matches
—
Karmiotissa — Apollon Limassol, First Division
Cyprus, First Division
Karmiotissa
1.4DDDLL
Apollon Limassol
2.8DDWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
22%22%56%
Karmiotissa22%Draw22%Apollon Limassol56%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Karmiotissa4.59—
XDraw4.58—
2Apollon Limassol1.77—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKarmiotissaApollon LimassolCombined
Goals scored0.501.171.67
Conceded1.000.831.83
Corners6.87.37.0
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KarmiotissaApollon Limassol
Karmiotissa Pano Polemidia 22%, Apollon Limassol 56%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Karmiotissa Pano Polemidia 22%Draw 22%Apollon Limassol 56%
1st half
33 · 38 · 29
2nd half
23 · 38 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Karmiotissa
- awayAris Limassol0:0
- homeOmonia Aradippou1:1
- awayOmonia 29 Maiou2:2
- homePaphos0:3
- awayAEL Limassol0:1
Apollon Limassol
- homeAPOEL2:2
- awayOmonia0:0
- homeAnorthosis Famagusta3:1
- awayAris Limassol2:2
- homeBrann2:4
Head to head
- 01/18/25First Division0:3
- 10/04/24First Division2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Omonia42208:28
Omonia42208:284
Paphos42114:27
Paphos42114:275Apollon Limassol41307:56
Apollon Limassol41307:566
Omonia Aradippou41304:36
Omonia Aradippou41304:367
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:75
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:758
Aris Limassol41214:65
Aris Limassol41214:659
APOEL411210:74
APOEL411210:7410
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:74
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:7411
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:9412Karmiotissa40313:63
Karmiotissa40313:6313
Anorthosis Famagusta41033:93
Anorthosis Famagusta41033:9314
Digenis Ypsonas40042:100
Digenis Ypsonas40042:100Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.