All matches

Karlsruher SC — Darmstadt 98, 2. Bundesliga

Germany, 2. Bundesliga

Karlsruher SC
1.7LLDLD
—
Darmstadt 98
1.7LWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%24%30%
Karlsruher SC46%Draw24%Darmstadt 9830%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Karlsruher SC46%2.18—
XDraw24%4.11—
2Darmstadt 9830%3.35—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.58

No37%

ours 2.72

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKarlsruher SCDarmstadt 98Combined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded1.831.833.66
Corners11.812.412.1
Cards1.82.03.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Karlsruher SCDarmstadt 98

Karlsruher SC 46%, SV Darmstadt 1898 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Karlsruher SC 46%Draw 24%SV Darmstadt 1898 30%
1st half
38 · 37 · 25
2nd half
37 · 34 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Karlsruher SC

  • homeNurnberg0:1
  • homeEnergie Cottbus0:3
  • awayHannover 962:2
  • homeWolfsburg2:5
  • awayKaiserslautern0:0

Darmstadt 98

  • awayWolfsburg1:5
  • homeArminia Bielefeld2:1
  • awayKaiserslautern0:3
  • homeHannover 960:1
  • awayDynamo Dresden0:1

Head to head

  • 05/03/262. Bundesliga2:1
  • 12/06/252. Bundesliga2:3
  • 03/07/252. Bundesliga0:3
  • 10/04/242. Bundesliga3:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Greuther Furth61329:116
13Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
14Karlsruher SC61236:125
15Eintracht Braunschweig611412:134
16Holstein Kiel60427:104
17Dynamo Dresden61148:144
18Darmstadt 9861145:134

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.