Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.56
No36%
ours 2.79
All matches
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Karlsruher SC — Heidenheim, 2. Bundesliga
Germany, 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher SC
1.7LLDLD
Heidenheim
1.2DWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%24%38%
Karlsruher SC38%Draw24%Heidenheim38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Karlsruher SC2.62—
XDraw4.14—
2Heidenheim2.66—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKarlsruher SCHeidenheimCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded1.000.331.33
Corners8.711.310.0
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Karlsruher SCHeidenheim
Karlsruher SC 38%, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Karlsruher SC 38%Draw 24%1. FC Heidenheim 1846 38%
1st half
35 · 36 · 29
2nd half
31 · 35 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Karlsruher SC
- homeNurnberg0:1
- homeEnergie Cottbus0:3
- awayHannover 962:2
- homeWolfsburg2:5
- awayKaiserslautern0:0
Heidenheim
- awayArminia Bielefeld2:2
- homeHolstein Kiel1:0
- awayGreuther Furth1:0
- homeDynamo Dresden5:3
- awayHertha Berlin1:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Hertha Berlin660017:718
Hertha Berlin660017:7182
Nurnberg651016:616
Nurnberg651016:6163Heidenheim641114:1213
Heidenheim641114:12134
Wolfsburg632115:811
Wolfsburg632115:8115
Kaiserslautern63216:411
Kaiserslautern63216:4116
Magdeburg631211:910
Magdeburg631211:9107
Energie Cottbus622214:138
Energie Cottbus622214:1388
St. Pauli61418:87
St. Pauli61418:879
VfL Bochum62135:67
VfL Bochum62135:6710
Hannover 9662137:97
Hannover 9662137:9711
Osnabruck62139:127
Osnabruck62139:12712
Greuther Furth61329:116
Greuther Furth61329:11613
Arminia Bielefeld612310:125
Arminia Bielefeld612310:12514Karlsruher SC61236:125
Karlsruher SC61236:12515
Eintracht Braunschweig611412:134
Eintracht Braunschweig611412:13416
Holstein Kiel60427:104
Holstein Kiel60427:104Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.