KA vs Thor Akureyri: result 3:0
Iceland, ÚrvalsdeildMatch finished
Final score 3:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: KA 64%, draw 19%, Thor Akureyri 17%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedKA64%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.562%
- Both teams to score MissedYes57%
Actual: No — we had 43%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
KA
- homeIB Vestmannaeyja5:1
- awayValur1:4
- awayStjarnan3:0
- homeThor Akureyri3:0
- awayFH Hafnarfjordur0:3
Thor Akureyri
- awayFH Hafnarfjordur2:1
- homeStjarnan3:1
- homeIB Vestmannaeyja1:0
- awayKA0:3
- awayValur1:4
Head to head
- 09/19/26Úrvalsdeild3:0
- 07/27/26Úrvalsdeild0:0
- 05/02/26Úrvalsdeild1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.