Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.29
All matches
—
Juventus — Rennes, UEFA Europa League
Europe, UEFA Europa League
Juventus
3.2WWLDW
Rennes
2.3LDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
77%14%
Juventus77%Draw14%Rennes9%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Juventus1.29—
XDraw7.12—
2Rennes11.60—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricJuventusRennesCombined
Goals scored1.500.171.67
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners7.79.38.5
Cards1.31.02.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
JuventusRennes
Juventus FC 77%, Stade Rennais FC 9%. The safest is “Juventus FC or draw” at 91%.
Juventus FC 77%Draw 14%Stade Rennais FC 9%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Juventus
- homeAtalanta2:0
- homeNEC Nijmegen5:0
- awaySassuolo2:3
- homeAC Milan1:1
- homeParma2:0
Rennes
- awayLyon0:4
- awaySturm Graz0:0
- homeMarseille1:0
- awayAngers2:1
- homeLe Mans3:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
22
Thun41127:124
Thun41127:12423
Sheriff41121:64
Sheriff41121:6424Juventus11005:03
Juventus11005:0325
Crystal Palace11004:03
Crystal Palace11004:0326
Sparta Prague11004:13
Sparta Prague11004:1327
Union Saint-Gilloise11003:03
Union Saint-Gilloise11003:0328
Bayer Leverkusen11002:03
Bayer Leverkusen11002:0329
Bournemouth11002:13
Bournemouth11002:1330
Lyon11002:13
Lyon11002:1331
Olympiakos11002:13
Olympiakos11002:1332
Torreense11002:13
Torreense11002:1333
Sunderland11001:03
Sunderland11001:0334
Red Star Belgrade21014:53
Red Star Belgrade21014:5335
Sint-Truiden21013:43
Sint-Truiden21013:4336
Zilina21012:33
Zilina21012:3337
Viktoria Plzen31025:73
Viktoria Plzen31025:7338
Shamrock Rovers21014:63
Shamrock Rovers21014:6339
Vikingur Reykjavik21013:53
Vikingur Reykjavik21013:5340
Kauno Zalgiris21011:33
Kauno Zalgiris21011:3341
St. Gallen21012:63
St. Gallen21012:6342
U Cluj20200:02
U Cluj20200:0243
Dynamo Kyiv40222:52
Dynamo Kyiv40222:5244
Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:01
Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:0145
Sturm Graz10100:01
Sturm Graz10100:0146Rennes10100:01
Rennes10100:0147
Dinamo Zagreb10100:01
Dinamo Zagreb10100:0148
Twente20113:41
Twente20113:41Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.