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Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen: result 5:0

Europe, UEFA Europa LeagueMatch finished

Final score 5:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Juventus 80%, draw 13%, NEC Nijmegen 7%.

3.2WLWDL
5:0HT 3:0
2.2LDWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
80%13%
Juventus80%Draw13%NEC Nijmegen7%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.31xG1.11
48Possession, %52
11Shots11
7Shots on target3
0Corners1
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
9Fouls19
1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 67 of 88
  • Match result Landed
    Juventus80%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.572%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes53%

    Actual: No — we had 47%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Juventus80%1.26—
XDraw13%7.60—
2NEC Nijmegen7%13.83—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Juventus

  • homeNapoli2:0
  • awayGenoa0:2
  • awayLecce2:0
  • homeRennes2:2
  • homeLazio0:3

NEC Nijmegen

  • awayHeerenveen0:1
  • homeGroningen2:2
  • awayDinamo Zagreb4:2
  • homeFortuna Sittard2:2
  • homeLevski Sofia1:1

Head to head

  • 09/17/26UEFA Europa League5:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Qarabag42206:08
17Juventus32109:37
18Sunderland32104:27
19AZ Alkmaar32016:26
20PAOK42027:66
21Hradec Kralove42024:36
22Lyon32015:66
23Hajduk Split42025:66
24Rennes31204:35
26Lillestrom51224:105
27Real Sociedad31118:34
28Crystal Palace31118:54
29Sparta Prague31115:34
30Egnatia41127:64
31Paphos41127:64
32Levski Sofia31113:34
33Dinamo Zagreb31113:44
34Sturm Graz31111:34
35NEC Nijmegen31115:84
36Iberia 199941123:74
37Thun41127:124

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.