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Juventus — Omonia, UEFA Europa League: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Europe, UEFA Europa League

3.2LWDLW
  
3.8WLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
69%19%11%
Juventus69%Draw19%Omonia11%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Juventus69%1.44—
XDraw19%5.22—
2Omonia11%8.78—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.06

No51%

ours 1.94

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

JuventusOmonia

Juventus FC 69%, AC Omonia Nicosia 11%. The safest is “Juventus FC or draw” at 89%.

Juventus FC 69%Draw 19%AC Omonia Nicosia 11%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots: Under 27.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricJuventusOmoniaCombined
Goals scored1.201.602.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Juventus
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
Omonia

Nothing unusual in recent matches.

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Juventus

  • awayGenoa0:2
  • awayLecce2:0
  • homeRennes2:2
  • homeLazio0:3
  • awayCelta Vigo2:1

Omonia

  • homeAEL Limassol2:0
  • awayAEK Larnaca0:2
  • homeBenfica1:4
  • homeOlympiakos Nicosia2:2
  • awayCelje3:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Salzburg742111:914
6Jagiellonia741213:913
7Omonia741211:813
8Lech Poznan732216:1111
9CSKA Sofia83239:1111
11Bournemouth33008:19
13OFI53028:49
14Olympiakos33004:19
15Qarabag42206:08
17Juventus32109:37
18Sunderland32104:27
19AZ Alkmaar32016:26

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.