All matches

Juan Pablo II — Sport Boys, Primera División

Peru, Primera División

Juan Pablo II
1.5WWDWW
—
Sport Boys
1.6DWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%26%25%
Juan Pablo II49%Draw26%Sport Boys25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Juan Pablo II49%2.04—
XDraw26%3.89—
2Sport Boys25%3.97—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.23

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricJuan Pablo IISport BoysCombined
Goals scored2.671.504.17
Conceded1.000.671.67
Corners6.812.29.5
Cards1.43.04.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Juan Pablo IISport Boys

Juan Pablo II College 49%, Sport Boys Association 25%. The safest is “Juan Pablo II College or draw” at 75%.

Juan Pablo II College 49%Draw 26%Sport Boys Association 25%
1st half
39 · 38 · 23
2nd half
36 · 40 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Juan Pablo II

  • homeUCV Moquegua4:0
  • awayUT Cajamarca2:1
  • homeAlianza Lima1:1
  • awayLos Chankas4:3
  • homeDeportivo Tarma5:1

Sport Boys

  • awayMelgar1:1
  • homeGarcilaso1:0
  • awaySport Huancayo1:2
  • homeSporting Cristal1:0
  • homeCienciano5:1

Head to head

  • 04/26/26Primera División1:1
  • 07/20/25Primera División3:0
  • 02/09/25Primera División0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:3540
9Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
10Sport Boys27108929:2638
11Sport Huancayo271051237:4435
12Juan Pablo II27971142:5234
13Atletico Grau27951326:3132
14Comerciantes Unidos27791135:3830

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.