All matches

Juan Pablo II — Sport Huancayo, Primera División

Peru, Primera División

Juan Pablo II
1.5WWDWW
—
Sport Huancayo
1.6WWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%25%30%
Juan Pablo II45%Draw25%Sport Huancayo30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Juan Pablo II45%2.21—
XDraw25%3.98—
2Sport Huancayo30%3.37—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.65

No40%

ours 2.53

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricJuan Pablo IISport HuancayoCombined
Goals scored1.171.002.17
Conceded0.330.500.83
Corners6.79.38.0
Cards2.03.75.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Juan Pablo IISport Huancayo

Juan Pablo II College 45%, CD Sport Huancayo 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Juan Pablo II College 45%Draw 25%CD Sport Huancayo 30%
1st half
34 · 38 · 28
2nd half
32 · 38 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Juan Pablo II

  • homeUCV Moquegua4:0
  • awayUT Cajamarca2:1
  • homeAlianza Lima1:1
  • awayLos Chankas4:3
  • homeDeportivo Tarma5:1

Sport Huancayo

  • homeUT Cajamarca3:2
  • awayComerciantes Unidos1:0
  • homeSport Boys2:1
  • awayDeportivo Tarma3:1
  • homeUCV Moquegua0:2

Head to head

  • 05/10/26Primera División1:2
  • 07/25/25Primera División1:5
  • 02/16/25Primera División0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
10Sport Boys27108929:2638
11Sport Huancayo271051237:4435
12Juan Pablo II27971142:5234
13Atletico Grau27951326:3132
14Comerciantes Unidos27791135:3830

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.