All matches

Tammeka Tartu — Narva Trans, Meistriliiga

Estonia, Meistriliiga

Tammeka Tartu
1.4LLWLW
—
Narva Trans
1.1DLDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%22%28%
Tammeka Tartu50%Draw22%Narva Trans28%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tammeka Tartu50%1.99—
XDraw22%4.53—
2Narva Trans28%3.61—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.24

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTammeka TartuNarva TransCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded1.670.832.50
Corners11.011.711.3
Cards1.71.73.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Tammeka TartuNarva Trans

JK Tammeka Tartu 50%, JK Narva Trans 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

JK Tammeka Tartu 50%Draw 22%JK Narva Trans 28%
1st half
36 · 36 · 27
2nd half
33 · 40 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Tammeka Tartu

  • homeNomme Kalju1:3
  • awayLevadia0:6
  • awayKuressaare3:1
  • homePaide0:2
  • awayHarju Jalgpallikool2:0

Narva Trans

  • homeLevadia1:1
  • awayNomme Kalju0:2
  • homeFlora2:2
  • awayKuressaare1:3
  • homeTammeka Tartu0:2

Head to head

  • 08/30/26Meistriliiga2:0
  • 06/21/26Meistriliiga1:0
  • 04/07/26Meistriliiga0:3
  • 11/08/25Meistriliiga2:0
  • 08/09/25Meistriliiga1:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Paide29156848:3651
4Nomme Kalju29155952:2750
5Tammeka Tartu291421337:4744
6Harju Jalgpallikool291221541:4638
7Vaprus Parnu29941638:5831
8Kuressaare29851631:4929
9Nomme United29911947:6828
10Narva Trans29542022:6519

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.