Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.71
No41%
ours 2.42
All matches
Tammeka Tartu — Laagri, Meistriliiga
Estonia, Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu
1.8WLLWL
Laagri
2.0WWWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%21%39%
Tammeka Tartu40%Draw21%Laagri39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tammeka Tartu2.51—
XDraw4.81—
2Laagri2.54—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2904 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2896 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2886 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Tammeka TartuLaagri
JK Tammeka Tartu 40%, Harju JK Laagri 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 79%.
JK Tammeka Tartu 40%Draw 21%Harju JK Laagri 39%
1st half
35 · 35 · 30
2nd half
36 · 36 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Over 20.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTammeka TartuLaagriCombined
Goals scored2.201.603.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Tammeka Tartu- 11 goals in the last 5 matches5:1, 0:2, 1:2, 4:0, 1:3
- Most yellow cards in the league — 2.4 per match10 teams in the league
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
Laagri- 4 clean sheets in the last 53:1, 2:0, 2:0, 1:0, 0:0
- 4 wins in a row3:1, 2:0, 2:0, 1:0, 0:0
- Unbeaten away in 4 matches1:0, 2:1, 3:2, 2:1, 2:3
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Tammeka Tartu
- homeNarva Trans5:1
- awayFlora0:2
- awayPaide1:2
- homeNomme United4:0
- homeNomme Kalju1:3
Laagri
- homeFlora3:1
- homeVaprus Parnu2:0
- homeNomme United2:0
- awayNomme Kalju1:0
- homeKuressaare0:0
Head to head
- 09/06/26Meistriliiga2:0
- 07/05/26Meistriliiga2:1
- 04/25/26Meistriliiga0:1
- 10/22/25Meistriliiga2:2
- 08/31/25Meistriliiga3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Flora331911363:4758
Flora331911363:47584
Nomme Kalju321561154:3351
Nomme Kalju321561154:33515
Laagri331621549:4750
Laagri331621549:47506
Tammeka Tartu331621547:5250
Tammeka Tartu331621547:52507
Kuressaare331051834:5235
Kuressaare331051834:52358
Nomme United331112154:7634
Nomme United331112154:7634Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.