All matches

Tammeka Tartu — Harju Jalgpallikool, Meistriliiga

Estonia, Meistriliiga

Tammeka Tartu
1.4LLWLW
—
Harju Jalgpallikool
1.4DWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%22%34%
Tammeka Tartu43%Draw22%Harju Jalgpallikool34%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tammeka Tartu43%2.31—
XDraw22%4.49—
2Harju Jalgpallikool34%2.91—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75

No43%

ours 2.34

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTammeka TartuHarju JalgpallikoolCombined
Goals scored0.170.000.17
Conceded0.500.000.50
Corners10.018.014.0
Cards2.01.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Tammeka TartuHarju Jalgpallikool

JK Tammeka Tartu 43%, Harju Jalgpallikool 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

JK Tammeka Tartu 43%Draw 22%Harju Jalgpallikool 34%
1st half
36 · 35 · 28
2nd half
32 · 39 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Tammeka Tartu

  • homeNomme Kalju1:3
  • awayLevadia0:6
  • awayKuressaare3:1
  • homePaide0:2
  • awayHarju Jalgpallikool2:0

Harju Jalgpallikool

  • homeKuressaare0:0
  • awayPaide2:1
  • awayVaprus Parnu3:2
  • homeTammeka Tartu0:2
  • awayNomme United2:1

Head to head

  • 09/06/26Meistriliiga2:0
  • 07/05/26Meistriliiga2:1
  • 04/25/26Meistriliiga0:1
  • 10/22/25Meistriliiga2:2
  • 08/31/25Meistriliiga3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Paide29156848:3651
4Nomme Kalju29155952:2750
5Tammeka Tartu291421337:4744
6Harju Jalgpallikool291221541:4638
7Vaprus Parnu29941638:5831
8Kuressaare29851631:4929

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.