Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81book 1.62
No45%
ours 2.24book 2.14
All matches
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Istanbulspor — Erokspor, 1. Lig
Turkey, 1. Lig
Istanbulspor
WLLLD
Erokspor
LDLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
29%28%43%
IstanbulsporMarket 3.4229%DrawMarket 3.3828%EroksporMarket 1.9343%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Istanbulspor3.433.42-0.1
XDraw3.583.38-1.6
2Erokspor2.331.93-9.0
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
IstanbulsporErokspor
İstanbulspor AŞ 29%, Erok Spor Kulübü Derneği 43%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
İstanbulspor AŞ 29%Draw 28%Erok Spor Kulübü Derneği 43%
1st half
27 · 41 · 32
2nd half
24 · 39 · 37
Bookmakers: 3.42 · 3.38 · 1.93
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
72%1.36
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricIstanbulsporEroksporCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded2.331.503.83
Corners9.09.59.3
Cards1.82.34.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Istanbulspor
- awayManisa FK1:0
- awayKayserispor0:4
- homeIgdir FK1:2
- awayBursaspor0:4
- homeFatih Karagümrük Spor Kulübü1:1
Erokspor
- homeFatih Karagümrük Spor Kulübü0:2
- awayBursaspor2:2
- homeKayserispor0:3
- awayBodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü0:0
- homeIgdir FK0:1
Head to head
- 02/17/261. Lig1:4
- 09/24/251. Lig0:5
- 05/04/251. Lig3:0
- 01/05/251. Lig4:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16
Umraniyespor81346:96
Umraniyespor81346:9617
Vanspor81348:176
Vanspor81348:17618Erokspor80534:105
Erokspor80534:10519Istanbulspor81257:195
Istanbulspor81257:19520
Boluspor80173:201
Boluspor80173:201Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.