Both teams to score
Yes63%
ours 1.58
No37%
ours 2.72
All matches
—
Ironi Tiberias — Maccabi Netanya, Israeli Premier League
Israel, Israeli Premier League
Ironi Tiberias
1.6LDWLW
Maccabi Netanya
1.8LLDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
35%26%39%
Ironi Tiberias35%Draw26%Maccabi Netanya39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ironi Tiberias2.82—
XDraw3.88—
2Maccabi Netanya2.58—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricIroni TiberiasMaccabi NetanyaCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded1.331.002.33
Corners10.310.310.3
Cards1.02.53.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Ironi TiberiasMaccabi Netanya
Ironi Tiberias 35%, Maccabi Netanya FC 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Ironi Tiberias 35%Draw 26%Maccabi Netanya FC 39%
1st half
29 · 40 · 31
2nd half
28 · 37 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Ironi Tiberias
- awayMaccabi Haifa2:3
- homeHapoel Katamon Jerusalem2:2
- awayMaccabi Petah Tikva2:1
- awayHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona0:2
- homeHapoel Petah Tikva1:0
Maccabi Netanya
- homeMaccabi Tel Aviv1:2
- awayHapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim0:2
- homeHapoel Haifa1:1
- awayBeitar Jerusalem4:1
- homeIhoud Bnei Sakhnin0:0
Head to head
- 05/10/26Israeli Premier League4:3
- 01/03/26Israeli Premier League4:0
- 01/03/26Israeli Premier League4:0
- 09/20/25Israeli Premier League2:5
- 09/20/25Israeli Premier League2:5
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
Beitar Jerusalem53027:996
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:1277Ironi Tiberias52127:87
Ironi Tiberias52127:878
Hapoel Haifa51317:66
Hapoel Haifa51317:669
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:11610Maccabi Netanya51226:65
Maccabi Netanya51226:6511
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:64
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:6412
Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim51044:93
Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim51044:93Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.