All matches

Ironi Tiberias — Hapoel Be'er Sheva, Israeli Premier League

Israel, Israeli Premier League

Ironi Tiberias
1.6LDWLW
—
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
3.5WDWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
16%21%63%
Ironi Tiberias16%Draw21%Hapoel Be'er Sheva63%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ironi Tiberias16%6.20—
XDraw21%4.82—
2Hapoel Be'er Sheva63%1.58—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75

No43%

ours 2.33

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIroni TiberiasHapoel Be'er ShevaCombined
Goals scored1.501.332.83
Conceded1.331.172.50
Corners9.59.79.6
Cards0.82.73.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Ironi TiberiasHapoel Be'er Sheva

Ironi Tiberias 16%, Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 63%. The safest is “Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC or draw” at 82%.

Ironi Tiberias 16%Draw 21%Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 63%
1st half
17 · 37 · 46
2nd half
24 · 38 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Ironi Tiberias

  • awayMaccabi Haifa2:3
  • homeHapoel Katamon Jerusalem2:2
  • awayMaccabi Petah Tikva2:1
  • awayHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona0:2
  • homeHapoel Petah Tikva1:0

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

  • homeHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona1:0
  • homeDinamo Zagreb0:0
  • awayHapoel Petah Tikva2:0
  • homeMaccabi Tel Aviv1:4
  • homeHapoel Haifa2:2

Head to head

  • 12/20/25Israeli Premier League3:0
  • 12/20/25Israeli Premier League3:0
  • 08/30/25Israeli Premier League0:7
  • 08/30/25Israeli Premier League0:7

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Maccabi Haifa540112:712
3Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:410
4Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
5Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
6Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
7Ironi Tiberias52127:87
8Hapoel Haifa51317:66
9Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.