Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86book 1.98
No46%
ours 2.17book 1.74
All matches
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Iraklis Thessaloniki — Levadiakos, Super League
Greece, Super League
Iraklis Thessaloniki
1.9DDWDL
Levadiakos
2.0LDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%28%30%
Iraklis ThessalonikiMarket 2.2742%DrawMarket 2.9828%LevadiakosMarket 3.4130%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Iraklis Thessaloniki2.382.27-2.0
XDraw3.612.98-5.8
2Levadiakos3.313.41+0.9
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricIraklis ThessalonikiLevadiakosCombined
Goals scored0.800.000.80
Conceded1.202.003.20
Corners6.810.28.5
Cards2.22.34.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Iraklis ThessalonikiLevadiakos
Iraklis Thessaloniki FC 42%, Levadiakos FC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.
Iraklis Thessaloniki FC 42%Draw 28%Levadiakos FC 30%
1st half
33 · 41 · 25
2nd half
31 · 41 · 28
Bookmakers: 2.27 · 2.98 · 3.41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
69%1.39
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Iraklis Thessaloniki
- awayAris Thessaloniki0:0
- homeAtromitos1:1
- awayAsteras Tripolis2:0
- awayVolos New1:1
- awayAEK Athens0:4
Levadiakos
- homeOlympiakos0:1
- awayKifisias0:0
- homePanetolikos0:2
- homePanathinaikos0:2
- awayPAOK0:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Panetolikos53028:79
Panetolikos53028:797
Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
Aris Thessaloniki52125:1078Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:669
Kifisias51224:75
Kifisias51224:7510
Kalamata51136:84
Kalamata51136:8411
Atromitos50234:72
Atromitos50234:7212
Asteras Tripolis50234:92
Asteras Tripolis50234:9213
Volos New50234:92
Volos New50234:9214Levadiakos50140:91
Levadiakos50140:91Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.