Inter Bogotá 2:3 Atletico Nacional, Primera A
Colombia, Primera AMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedAtletico Nacional59%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.555%
- Both teams to score LandedYes54%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
Inter Bogotá
- homeOnce Caldas1:1
- awayDeportivo Pereira0:0
- awayBucaramanga0:2
- homeAtletico Nacional2:3
- homeLlaneros3:2
Atletico Nacional
- homeDeportes Tolima0:0
- homeJunior3:1
- homeMillonarios1:1
- awayLlaneros0:2
- awayInter Bogotá3:2
Head to head
- 09/17/26Primera A2:3
- 05/12/26Primera A1:7
- 05/09/26Primera A1:2
- 03/22/26Primera A0:3
- 07/19/25Primera A1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Atletico Nacional36253870:3178
America de Cali33187850:2761
Independiente Santa Fe351415654:3657
Deportes Tolima361512946:3457
Junior361581354:4853
Deportivo Cali31149840:2551
Once Caldas341214849:4150
Millonarios331212950:3548
Bucaramanga301113646:3046
Independiente Medellin311371145:4046
Pasto331271438:4643
Rionegro Aguilas3110111036:4241Inter Bogotá349141142:5341
Llaneros328121232:3736
Fortaleza CEIF326151136:4633Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.