Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85book 2.01
No46%
ours 2.18book 1.72
All matches
Postponednew date not announced yet
Independiente Santa Fe — Jaguares de Cordoba, Primera A
Colombia, Primera A
Independiente Santa Fe
2.6WWLWW
Jaguares de Cordoba
1.2WLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
72%18%
Independiente Santa FeMarket 1.3972%DrawMarket 4.4018%Jaguares de CordobaMarket 7.5510%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Independiente Santa Fe1.391.39+0.1
XDraw5.534.40-4.6
2Jaguares de Cordoba10.177.55-3.4
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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69%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1804 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1802 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1794 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Independiente Santa FeJaguares de Cordoba
Independiente Santa Fe SA 72%, Jaguares de Córdoba FC 10%. The safest is “Independiente Santa Fe SA or draw” at 89%.
Independiente Santa Fe SA 72%Draw 18%Jaguares de Córdoba FC 10%
1st half
48 · 41 · 10
2nd half
59 · 28 · 13
Bookmakers: 1.39 · 4.40 · 7.55
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
70%1.42
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricIndependiente Santa FeJaguares de CordobaCombined
Goals scored1.671.673.34
Conceded0.832.173.00
Corners10.311.310.8
Cards2.83.36.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Independiente Santa Fe
- awayIndependiente Medellin1:0
- awayDeportivo Pereira2:1
- homeDeportivo Cali0:1
- awayAlianza Valledupar4:1
- homeDeportes Tolima1:0
Jaguares de Cordoba
- homeDeportes Tolima3:2
- awayRionegro Aguilas0:2
- homeAlianza Valledupar1:2
- awayIndependiente Medellin1:2
- homeFortaleza CEIF2:2
Head to head
- 02/17/26Primera A1:3
- 11/15/24Primera A3:0
- 04/28/24Primera A0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Atletico Nacional36253870:3178
Atletico Nacional36253870:31782
America de Cali34187951:2961
America de Cali34187951:29613Independiente Santa Fe351415654:3657
Independiente Santa Fe351415654:36574
Deportes Tolima3715121048:3757
Deportes Tolima3715121048:37575
Junior3815101357:5155
Junior3815101357:51556
Deportivo Cali321410840:2552
Deportivo Cali321410840:25527
Once Caldas341214849:4150
Once Caldas341214849:41508
Independiente Medellin321471147:4149
Independiente Medellin321471147:41499
Millonarios331212950:3548
Millonarios331212950:354810
Bucaramanga311114647:3147
Bucaramanga311114647:314711
Pasto331271438:4643
Pasto331271438:464312
Rionegro Aguilas3210121037:4342
Rionegro Aguilas3210121037:434213
Inter Bogotá359151144:5542
Inter Bogotá359151144:554214
Llaneros328121232:3736
Llaneros328121232:373615
Cucuta Deportivo328101438:5434
Cucuta Deportivo328101438:543416
Fortaleza CEIF326151136:4633
Fortaleza CEIF326151136:463317
Alianza Valledupar326111527:5329
Alianza Valledupar326111527:532918
Boyaca Chico31851825:5129
Boyaca Chico31851825:512919Jaguares de Cordoba31771734:5528
Jaguares de Cordoba31771734:552820
Deportivo Pereira322141623:5020
Deportivo Pereira322141623:5020Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.