All matches

IL Hødd — Ranheim Fotball, First Division

Norway, First Division

IL Hødd
LLLDW
—
Ranheim Fotball
WWDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
36%24%41%
IL Hødd36%Draw24%Ranheim Fotball41%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1IL Hødd36%2.80—
XDraw24%4.21—
2Ranheim Fotball41%2.47—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.59

No37%

ours 2.70

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIL HøddRanheim FotballCombined
Goals scored1.172.503.67
Conceded2.171.503.67
Corners13.611.212.4
Cards1.61.43.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

IL HøddRanheim Fotball

IL Hødd 36%, Ranheim Fotball 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

IL Hødd 36%Draw 24%Ranheim Fotball 41%
1st half
37 · 34 · 29
2nd half
22 · 30 · 48
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

IL Hødd

  • homeOdds2:3
  • awayKongsvinger IL1:5
  • homeFC Lyn Oslo0:2
  • awayÅsane Fotball2:2
  • homeStabæk Fotball2:1

Ranheim Fotball

  • homeEgersunds IK5:0
  • awayFC Lyn Oslo4:1
  • homeÅsane Fotball2:2
  • awaySandnes Ulf1:1
  • homeOdds3:5

Head to head

  • 05/20/26First Division2:3
  • 08/02/25First Division1:2
  • 04/29/25First Division0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Odds24116750:3839
6Bryne FK241221033:3138
7IL Hødd241041040:4834
8Ranheim Fotball24941161:5831
9Egersunds IK24851136:4929
10FC Lyn Oslo24841239:4928

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.