All matches

Sirius — AIK, Allsvenskan

Sweden, Allsvenskan

Sirius
2.4WWLLL
—
AIK
2.4LLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
52%23%25%
Sirius52%Draw23%AIK25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sirius52%1.91—
XDraw23%4.36—
2AIK25%4.04—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.62

No38%

ours 2.61

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSiriusAIKCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners10.09.09.5
Cards1.31.02.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SiriusAIK

IK Sirius Fotboll 52%, AIK Fotboll 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

IK Sirius Fotboll 52%Draw 23%AIK Fotboll 25%
1st half
45 · 36 · 19
2nd half
34 · 36 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 2.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

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Form and context

Sirius

  • awayÖrgryte IS2:1
  • awayVasteras1:0
  • homeMalmo0:1
  • homeHacken0:3
  • awayMjallby3:4

AIK

  • awayHalmstads1:2
  • homeVasteras1:4
  • awayMalmo0:0
  • homeHammarby3:2
  • awayDjurgarden3:1

Head to head

  • 05/30/26Allsvenskan3:0
  • 08/31/25Allsvenskan1:2
  • 06/01/25Allsvenskan3:1
  • 09/25/24Allsvenskan0:1
  • 05/11/24Allsvenskan3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sirius21153350:2848
2Hammarby22134549:2043
3Djurgarden21122745:2138
4Elfsborg22107531:2237
5Hacken2299439:3036
6Vasteras22105734:3535
7Malmo22103937:3333
8AIK2195730:3332
9IFK Goteborg2295831:4132
10GAIS2186728:1830

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.