Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.68
No41%
ours 2.46
All matches
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IK Brage — Helsingborgs IF, Superettan
Sweden, Superettan
IK Brage
LDDLL
Helsingborgs IF
DLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%26%31%
IK Brage43%Draw26%Helsingborgs IF31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1IK Brage2.34—
XDraw3.88—
2Helsingborgs IF3.18—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricIK BrageHelsingborgs IFCombined
Goals scored1.000.671.67
Conceded2.001.333.33
Corners11.810.811.3
Cards1.82.24.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
IK BrageHelsingborgs IF
IK Brage 43%, Helsingborgs IF 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
IK Brage 43%Draw 26%Helsingborgs IF 31%
1st half
33 · 37 · 30
2nd half
41 · 35 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
IK Brage
- awayVarbergs BoIS FC2:3
- homeSandvikens IF1:1
- awayÖstersunds FK1:1
- homeGIF Sundsvall0:1
- awayFalkenbergs FF1:4
Helsingborgs IF
- homeNorrby IF0:0
- awayÖstersunds FK0:1
- awayLandskrona BoIS2:1
- homeSandvikens IF0:2
- homeÖrebro SK1:1
Head to head
- 05/03/26Superettan0:2
- 10/25/25Superettan3:2
- 05/13/25Superettan0:1
- 08/27/24Superettan0:3
- 04/09/24Superettan1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
United IK Nordic2599738:4036
United IK Nordic2599738:40369
Sandvikens IF2597941:3534
Sandvikens IF2597941:353410Helsingborgs IF25861136:4530
Helsingborgs IF25861136:453011
IFK Varnamo25851233:4529
IFK Varnamo25851233:452912
Ljungskile SK25771133:3628
Ljungskile SK25771133:362813
Norrby IF25412928:3524
Norrby IF25412928:352414
Örebro SK25591127:3924
Örebro SK25591127:392415IK Brage25581239:4823
IK Brage25581239:482316
GIF Sundsvall25611819:5319
GIF Sundsvall25611819:5319Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.