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IB Vestmannaeyja vs Valur: result 1:1

Iceland, ÚrvalsdeildMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Valur 44%, IB Vestmannaeyja 34%, draw 22%.

1:1HT 0:0
1.9LWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
34%22%44%
IB VestmannaeyjaPrice 2.2634%DrawPrice 3.8422%ValurPrice 2.6644%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.17xG1.48
46Possession, %54
20Shots13
7Shots on target5
7Corners1
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
11Fouls19
0Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 71 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Valur44%

    Actual: Draw — we had 22%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.565%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 35%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes65%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1IB Vestmannaeyja34%42%2.942.26-7.6
XDraw22%24%4.543.84-1.5
2Valur44%35%2.272.66+9.1

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

IB Vestmannaeyja

  • awayKA1:5
  • homeFH Hafnarfjordur3:1
  • awayThor Akureyri0:1
  • homeValur1:1
  • awayStjarnan0:2

Valur

  • awayStjarnan0:6
  • homeKA4:1
  • homeFH Hafnarfjordur3:5
  • awayIB Vestmannaeyja1:1
  • homeThor Akureyri4:1

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Úrvalsdeild1:1
  • 07/04/26Úrvalsdeild1:0
  • 04/17/26Úrvalsdeild1:2
  • 08/17/25Úrvalsdeild4:1
  • 05/24/25Úrvalsdeild0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Breidablik271061154:5736
6Stjarnan271041353:6134
7Valur271041351:5934
8FH Hafnarfjordur27791142:4930
9Keflavik IF27861343:5430
10Thor Akureyri27931529:5930
11KA27851447:5629
12IB Vestmannaeyja27571537:5522

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.