Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.33
All matches
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Hull City — Brentford, Premier League
England, Premier League
Hull City
2.1LDDWW
Brentford
2.4WDDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%27%32%
Hull City41%Draw27%Brentford32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hull City2.42—
XDraw3.75—
2Brentford3.13—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHull CityBrentfordCombined
Goals scored0.671.171.84
Conceded0.670.671.34
Corners10.09.39.6
Cards3.82.56.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Hull CityBrentford
Hull City AFC 41%, Brentford FC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Hull City AFC 41%Draw 27%Brentford FC 32%
1st half
39 · 35 · 26
2nd half
32 · 41 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Hull City
- awayNewcastle United1:2
- awayChelsea2:2
- homeAston Villa0:0
- awayCoventry City1:0
- homeManchester United2:0
Brentford
- homeChelsea3:0
- awayBournemouth2:2
- homeSunderland1:1
- awayLeeds United1:1
- homeTottenham3:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Arsenal54018:412
Arsenal54018:4123
Brighton531116:510
Brighton531116:5104Brentford523010:49
Brentford523010:495
Leeds United52307:39
Leeds United52307:396
Liverpool52307:49
Liverpool52307:497
Everton52306:39
Everton52306:398Hull City52216:48
Hull City52216:489
Newcastle United52219:98
Newcastle United52219:9810
Chelsea521210:127
Chelsea521210:127Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.