Huddersfield Town — Sheffield Wednesday FC, EFL League One

England, EFL League OneOctober 10 at 02:00 PM

Huddersfield Town

WLDDW

—

Sheffield Wednesday FC

0.3DDWWW

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability

45%26%29%

Huddersfield TownMarket 1.7545%DrawMarket 3.9026%Sheffield Wednesday FCMarket 4.1729%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ

1Huddersfield Town45%57%2.211.75-12.0

XDraw26%26%3.873.90+0.2

2Sheffield Wednesday FC29%24%3.464.17+4.9

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.91book 1.57

No48%

ours 2.10book 2.25

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Huddersfield TownSheffield Wednesday FC

Huddersfield Town FC 45%, Sheffield Wednesday FC 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Huddersfield Town FC 45%Draw 26%Sheffield Wednesday FC 29%

1st half

32 · 42 · 26

2nd half

41 · 34 · 25

Bookmakers: 1.75 · 3.90 · 4.17

Both teams to score?

How many goals?

How many corners?

How many yellow cards?

How many shots?

How many fouls?

How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price

Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%1.20

High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHuddersfield TownSheffield Wednesday FCCombined

Goals scored1.671.833.50

Conceded1.000.831.83

Corners10.712.311.5

Cards1.02.03.0

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

Shots

Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.