Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
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Houston Dynamo — Dallas, MLS
USA, MLS
Houston Dynamo
2.1LDLWD
Dallas
2.1WDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%25%31%
Houston Dynamo44%Draw25%Dallas31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Houston Dynamo2.29—
XDraw3.94—
2Dallas3.22—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHouston DynamoDallasCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded1.000.331.33
Corners7.59.58.5
Cards0.81.82.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Houston DynamoDallas
Houston Dynamo 44%, FC Dallas 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Houston Dynamo 44%Draw 25%FC Dallas 31%
1st half
39 · 37 · 24
2nd half
32 · 39 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Houston Dynamo
- homeSporting Kansas City0:2
- homeCincinnati2:2
- awaySan Jose Earthquakes0:1
- homeReal Salt Lake2:1
- awayCharlotte0:0
Dallas
- homeLos Angeles1:0
- homeAustin0:0
- homePortland Timbers2:1
- awayMinnesota United2:1
- homeSporting Kansas City4:3
Head to head
- 03/22/26MLS3:4
- 05/18/25MLS2:0
- 02/23/25MLS1:2
- 05/19/24MLS1:1
- 04/28/24MLS0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Vancouver Whitecaps26155659:2650
Vancouver Whitecaps26155659:26503
St. Louis City27138648:3647
St. Louis City27138648:36474Dallas27138650:4247
Dallas27138650:42475
Inter Miami271210564:5046
Inter Miami271210564:50466
New England Revolution27144945:3646
New England Revolution27144945:36467
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:3945
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:39458Houston Dynamo27135934:3244
Houston Dynamo27135934:32449
Charlotte27127847:3843
Charlotte27127847:384310
Chicago Fire26126846:3842
Chicago Fire26126846:3842Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.