All matches

Houston Dynamo II — LAFC 2, MLS Next Pro

USA, MLS Next Pro

Houston Dynamo II
1.9LDWLL
—
LAFC 2
1.6LWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%24%28%
Houston Dynamo II49%Draw24%LAFC 228%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Houston Dynamo II49%2.05—
XDraw24%4.24—
2LAFC 228%3.62—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.65

No40%

ours 2.53

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHouston Dynamo IILAFC 2Combined
Goals scored1.172.173.34
Conceded1.832.174.00
Corners9.38.38.8
Cards1.81.73.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Houston Dynamo IILAFC 2

Houston Dynamo FC II 49%, Los Angeles Football Club 2 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Houston Dynamo FC II 49%Draw 24%Los Angeles Football Club 2 28%
1st half
42 · 37 · 21
2nd half
33 · 37 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Houston Dynamo II

  • homeSporting Kansas City II2:3
  • awayNorth Texas0:0
  • awayNorth Texas3:2
  • homeAustin II0:2
  • homeMinnesota United II0:2

LAFC 2

  • awayMinnesota United II2:3
  • awaySporting Kansas City II5:1
  • homeLos Angeles Galaxy II1:1
  • awaySan Jose Earthquakes II2:3
  • awayVancouver Whitecaps II1:4

Head to head

  • 06/29/26MLS Next Pro1:3
  • 04/06/25MLS Next Pro1:0
  • 07/28/24MLS Next Pro2:1
  • 03/24/24MLS Next Pro2:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Portland Timbers II281410437:2952
5Los Angeles Galaxy II28147758:3649
6Houston Dynamo II28146853:3348
7Atlanta United II28145962:4647
8New York Red Bulls II281351058:4844
9Connecticut United281421259:5244
10New York City II281351050:4444
11New England Revolution II28128847:4244
12Columbus Crew II28127949:4343
13Minnesota United II281261043:3942
14LAFC 228119850:4842
15Huntsville City281261049:4742
16Orlando City II281261056:5542

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.