Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.31
All matches
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Hobro IK — Vendsyssel FF, 1st Division
Denmark, 1st Division
Hobro IK
LDLLW
Vendsyssel FF
DDLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%26%32%
Hobro IK42%Draw26%Vendsyssel FF32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hobro IK2.38—
XDraw3.81—
2Vendsyssel FF3.16—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHobro IKVendsyssel FFCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded1.831.002.83
Corners8.810.59.6
Cards0.82.02.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Hobro IKVendsyssel FF
Hobro IK 42%, Vendsyssel FF 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Hobro IK 42%Draw 26%Vendsyssel FF 32%
1st half
39 · 35 · 26
2nd half
25 · 42 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Hobro IK
- awayHB Køge2:5
- homeVejle Boldklub0:0
- homeHvidovre IF1:3
- awayHillerød Fodbold1:3
- homeAalborg BK2:1
Vendsyssel FF
- awayAalborg BK2:2
- homeAarhus Fremad0:0
- awayVejle Boldklub1:4
- awayEsbjerg fB2:0
- homeHillerød Fodbold1:0
Head to head
- 08/02/261st Division2:1
- 05/16/251st Division0:2
- 04/16/251st Division3:1
- 02/21/251st Division1:0
- 08/21/241st Division3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Aarhus Fremad934210:913
Aarhus Fremad934210:9135
Aalborg BK934211:1113
Aalborg BK934211:11136Hobro IK941412:1613
Hobro IK941412:16137Vendsyssel FF924310:1410
Vendsyssel FF924310:14108
Akademisk Boldklub923411:109
Akademisk Boldklub923411:1099
Hillerød Fodbold923413:149
Hillerød Fodbold923413:149Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.