All matches

Helsingborgs IF — Ljungskile SK, Superettan

Sweden, Superettan

Helsingborgs IF
DLWLD
—
Ljungskile SK
LLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
41%26%33%
Helsingborgs IF41%Draw26%Ljungskile SK33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Helsingborgs IF41%2.44—
XDraw26%3.87—
2Ljungskile SK33%3.01—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.44

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHelsingborgs IFLjungskile SKCombined
Goals scored0.331.001.33
Conceded0.671.332.00
Corners12.010.511.3
Cards1.81.33.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Helsingborgs IFLjungskile SK

Helsingborgs IF 41%, Ljungskile SK 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Helsingborgs IF 41%Draw 26%Ljungskile SK 33%
1st half
35 · 38 · 27
2nd half
30 · 36 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Helsingborgs IF

  • homeNorrby IF0:0
  • awayÖstersunds FK0:1
  • awayLandskrona BoIS2:1
  • homeSandvikens IF0:2
  • homeÖrebro SK1:1

Ljungskile SK

  • awayGIF Sundsvall2:3
  • homeFalkenbergs FF0:2
  • homeNorrby IF2:1
  • awayIFK Norrkoping2:2
  • homeIFK Varnamo0:1

Head to head

  • 04/24/26Superettan1:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8United IK Nordic2599738:4036
9Sandvikens IF2597941:3534
10Helsingborgs IF25861136:4530
11IFK Varnamo25851233:4529
12Ljungskile SK25771133:3628
13Norrby IF25412928:3524
14Örebro SK25591127:3924

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.