All matches

HB Torshavn — KI Klaksvik, Premier League

Faroe Islands, Premier League

HB Torshavn
3.2WDWDW
—
KI Klaksvik
3.5DWWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
33%27%40%
HB TorshavnMarket 2.7233%DrawMarket 3.3827%KI KlaksvikMarket 2.2640%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1HB Torshavn33%37%3.072.72-4.2
XDraw27%30%3.683.38-2.4
2KI Klaksvik40%44%2.482.26-4.0

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.78book 1.58

No44%

ours 2.28book 2.21

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1031 matches

Corners

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70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1030 matches

Cards

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70%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1023 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

HB TorshavnKI Klaksvik

HB Tórshavn 33%, KÍ Klaksvík 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

HB Tórshavn 33%Draw 27%KÍ Klaksvík 40%
1st half
30 · 40 · 30
2nd half
30 · 34 · 37

Bookmakers: 2.72 · 3.38 · 2.26

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

70%1.35
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHB TorshavnKI KlaksvikCombined
Goals scored2.171.503.67
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners10.29.39.8
Cards1.02.83.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

HB Torshavn

  • homeAB Argir4:1
  • awaySkala2:2
  • awayVikingur Gota3:1
  • home07 Vestur0:0
  • homeB68 Toftir2:0

KI Klaksvik

  • homeSkala2:2
  • away07 Vestur1:0
  • homeEB/Streymur3:0
  • awayRiga1:2
  • homeNSI Runavik2:2

Head to head

  • 08/10/26Premier League2:0
  • 04/26/26Premier League0:2
  • 08/24/25Premier League0:0
  • 05/16/25Premier League1:1
  • 04/17/25Premier League0:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1NSI Runavik23146347:2648
2KI Klaksvik23129245:2145
3HB Torshavn23125644:2841
4Vikingur Gota23811434:2735
5B36 Tórshavn2398633:2835

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.