Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89
No47%
ours 2.13
All matches
—
Hapoel Tel Aviv — Ironi Tiberias, Israeli Premier League
Israel, Israeli Premier League
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.8WLWWD
Ironi Tiberias
1.6LDWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%23%12%
Hapoel Tel Aviv65%Draw23%Ironi Tiberias12%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hapoel Tel Aviv1.54—
XDraw4.33—
2Ironi Tiberias8.25—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHapoel Tel AvivIroni TiberiasCombined
Goals scored1.831.173.00
Conceded0.671.332.00
Corners8.69.69.1
Cards2.20.83.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Hapoel Tel AvivIroni Tiberias
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC 65%, Ironi Tiberias 12%. The safest is “Hapoel Tel Aviv FC or draw” at 88%.
Hapoel Tel Aviv FC 65%Draw 23%Ironi Tiberias 12%
1st half
48 · 40 · 12
2nd half
42 · 38 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- homeHapoel Petah Tikva3:0
- awayMaccabi Tel Aviv1:4
- homeHapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim4:0
- homeBeitar Jerusalem3:0
- awayHapoel Haifa0:0
Ironi Tiberias
- awayMaccabi Haifa2:3
- homeHapoel Katamon Jerusalem2:2
- awayMaccabi Petah Tikva2:1
- awayHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona0:2
- homeHapoel Petah Tikva1:0
Head to head
- 02/07/26Israeli Premier League2:0
- 02/07/26Israeli Premier League2:0
- 11/01/25Israeli Premier League2:0
- 11/01/25Israeli Premier League2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Maccabi Tel Aviv550018:615
Maccabi Tel Aviv550018:6152
Maccabi Haifa540112:712
Maccabi Haifa540112:7123Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:410
Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:4104
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:7105
Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
Beitar Jerusalem53027:996
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:1277Ironi Tiberias52127:87
Ironi Tiberias52127:878
Hapoel Haifa51317:66
Hapoel Haifa51317:669
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.