All matches

Hapoel Petah Tikva — Maccabi Netanya, Israeli Premier League

Israel, Israeli Premier League

Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.7LLLWL
—
Maccabi Netanya
1.8LLDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
39%26%35%
Hapoel Petah TikvaMarket 3.8139%DrawMarket 3.7426%Maccabi NetanyaMarket 1.8235%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hapoel Petah Tikva39%26%2.573.81+12.7
XDraw26%27%3.783.74-0.3
2Maccabi Netanya35%55%2.891.82-20.3

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.63book 1.61

No39%

ours 2.60book 2.17

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHapoel Petah TikvaMaccabi NetanyaCombined
Goals scored0.671.672.34
Conceded1.671.172.84
Corners7.811.09.4
Cards1.72.54.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Hapoel Petah TikvaMaccabi Netanya

Hapoel Petah Tikva FC 39%, Maccabi Netanya FC 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Hapoel Petah Tikva FC 39%Draw 26%Maccabi Netanya FC 35%
1st half
36 · 41 · 23
2nd half
27 · 38 · 35

Bookmakers: 3.81 · 3.74 · 1.82

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Hapoel Petah Tikva

  • awayHapoel Tel Aviv0:3
  • homeHapoel Be'er Sheva0:2
  • awayMaccabi Haifa1:2
  • homeHapoel Katamon Jerusalem1:0
  • awayIroni Tiberias0:1

Maccabi Netanya

  • homeMaccabi Tel Aviv1:2
  • awayHapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim0:2
  • homeHapoel Haifa1:1
  • awayBeitar Jerusalem4:1
  • homeIhoud Bnei Sakhnin0:0

Head to head

  • 12/31/25Israeli Premier League2:0
  • 12/30/25Israeli Premier League2:0
  • 09/13/25Israeli Premier League3:1
  • 09/13/25Israeli Premier League3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Hapoel Haifa51317:66
9Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116
10Maccabi Netanya51226:65
11Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:64
12Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim51044:93
13Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona51045:113
14Hapoel Petah Tikva51042:83

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.