Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.72
No42%
ours 2.38
All matches
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Hapoel Petah Tikva — Beitar Jerusalem, Israeli Premier League
Israel, Israeli Premier League
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.7LLLWL
Beitar Jerusalem
3.3WWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
22%23%55%
Hapoel Petah Tikva22%Draw23%Beitar Jerusalem55%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hapoel Petah Tikva4.59—
XDraw4.29—
2Beitar Jerusalem1.82—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHapoel Petah TikvaBeitar JerusalemCombined
Goals scored0.331.001.33
Conceded1.170.832.00
Corners7.57.07.3
Cards2.03.55.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Hapoel Petah TikvaBeitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Petah Tikva FC 22%, Beitar Jerusalem FC 55%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Hapoel Petah Tikva FC 22%Draw 23%Beitar Jerusalem FC 55%
1st half
28 · 43 · 28
2nd half
24 · 37 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Hapoel Petah Tikva
- awayHapoel Tel Aviv0:3
- homeHapoel Be'er Sheva0:2
- awayMaccabi Haifa1:2
- homeHapoel Katamon Jerusalem1:0
- awayIroni Tiberias0:1
Beitar Jerusalem
- homeHapoel Haifa2:1
- homeMaccabi Petah Tikva3:1
- awayIhoud Bnei Sakhnin1:0
- awayHapoel Tel Aviv0:3
- homeMaccabi Netanya1:4
Head to head
- 05/19/26Israeli Premier League0:0
- 04/28/26Israeli Premier League1:3
- 01/17/26Israeli Premier League1:3
- 01/17/26Israeli Premier League1:3
- 10/04/25Israeli Premier League2:5
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:410
Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:4104
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:7105Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
Beitar Jerusalem53027:996
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:1277
Ironi Tiberias52127:87
Ironi Tiberias52127:878
Hapoel Haifa51317:66
Hapoel Haifa51317:669
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:11610
Maccabi Netanya51226:65
Maccabi Netanya51226:6511
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:64
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:6412
Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim51044:93
Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim51044:9313
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona51045:113
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona51045:11314Hapoel Petah Tikva51042:83
Hapoel Petah Tikva51042:83Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.