Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.77
No43%
ours 2.30
All matches
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Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona — Hapoel Tel Aviv, Israeli Premier League
Israel, Israeli Premier League
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.3LLLWL
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.8WLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
19%23%58%
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona19%Draw23%Hapoel Tel Aviv58%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona5.14—
XDraw4.42—
2Hapoel Tel Aviv1.73—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHapoel Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel Tel AvivCombined
Goals scored1.171.833.00
Conceded2.330.833.16
Corners8.09.38.7
Cards1.52.74.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC 19%, Hapoel Tel Aviv FC 58%. The safest is “Hapoel Tel Aviv FC or draw” at 77%.
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC 19%Draw 23%Hapoel Tel Aviv FC 58%
1st half
24 · 43 · 33
2nd half
23 · 37 · 40
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona
- awayHapoel Be'er Sheva0:1
- homeMaccabi Haifa0:4
- awayHapoel Katamon Jerusalem2:4
- homeIroni Tiberias2:0
- awayMaccabi Petah Tikva1:2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- homeHapoel Petah Tikva3:0
- awayMaccabi Tel Aviv1:4
- homeHapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim4:0
- homeBeitar Jerusalem3:0
- awayHapoel Haifa0:0
Head to head
- 12/13/25Israeli Premier League2:2
- 12/13/25Israeli Premier League2:2
- 08/23/25Israeli Premier League1:2
- 08/23/25Israeli Premier League1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Maccabi Tel Aviv550018:615
Maccabi Tel Aviv550018:6152
Maccabi Haifa540112:712
Maccabi Haifa540112:7123Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:410
Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:4104
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:7105
Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
Beitar Jerusalem53027:996
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:1277
Ironi Tiberias52127:87
Ironi Tiberias52127:878
Hapoel Haifa51317:66
Hapoel Haifa51317:669
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:11610
Maccabi Netanya51226:65
Maccabi Netanya51226:6511
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:64
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:6412
Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim51044:93
Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim51044:9313Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona51045:113
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona51045:11314
Hapoel Petah Tikva51042:83
Hapoel Petah Tikva51042:83Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.