All matches

Hapoel Haifa — Maccabi Petah Tikva, Israeli Premier League

Israel, Israeli Premier League

Hapoel Haifa
1.3LWDDD
—
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.6LLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
35%27%39%
Hapoel HaifaMarket 1.9635%DrawMarket 3.4827%Maccabi Petah TikvaMarket 3.5439%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hapoel Haifa35%51%2.881.96-16.3
XDraw27%29%3.753.48-2.1
2Maccabi Petah Tikva39%28%2.593.54+10.4

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.69book 1.57

No41%

ours 2.45book 2.25

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHapoel HaifaMaccabi Petah TikvaCombined
Goals scored1.671.333.00
Conceded1.002.003.00
Corners7.310.08.7
Cards2.21.03.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Hapoel HaifaMaccabi Petah Tikva

Hapoel Haifa FC 35%, Maccabi Petah Tikva FC 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Hapoel Haifa FC 35%Draw 27%Maccabi Petah Tikva FC 39%
1st half
35 · 41 · 24
2nd half
26 · 40 · 34

Bookmakers: 1.96 · 3.48 · 3.54

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

67%1.42
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Hapoel Haifa

  • awayBeitar Jerusalem1:2
  • homeIhoud Bnei Sakhnin3:1
  • awayMaccabi Netanya1:1
  • awayHapoel Be'er Sheva2:2
  • homeHapoel Tel Aviv0:0

Maccabi Petah Tikva

  • homeHapoel Katamon Jerusalem2:4
  • awayBeitar Jerusalem1:3
  • homeIroni Tiberias1:2
  • awayIhoud Bnei Sakhnin2:1
  • homeHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona2:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
7Ironi Tiberias52127:87
8Hapoel Haifa51317:66
9Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116
10Maccabi Netanya51226:65
11Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:64

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.