All matches

Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem, Israeli Premier League

Israel, Israeli Premier League

Hapoel Be'er Sheva
3.5WDWLD
—
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem
1.2WDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
72%20%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva72%Draw20%Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem9%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hapoel Be'er Sheva72%1.40—
XDraw20%5.09—
2Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem9%11.52—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.27

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel Katamon JerusalemCombined
Goals scored0.672.002.67
Conceded0.672.002.67
Corners9.38.28.7
Cards2.82.45.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Hapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel Katamon Jerusalem

Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 72%, Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem FC 9%. The safest is “Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC or draw” at 88%.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 72%Draw 20%Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem FC 9%
1st half
50 · 38 · 12
2nd half
43 · 37 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Match result: Home

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

  • homeHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona1:0
  • homeDinamo Zagreb0:0
  • awayHapoel Petah Tikva2:0
  • homeMaccabi Tel Aviv1:4
  • homeHapoel Haifa2:2

Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem

  • awayMaccabi Petah Tikva4:2
  • awayIroni Tiberias2:2
  • homeHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona4:2
  • awayHapoel Petah Tikva0:1
  • homeMaccabi Tel Aviv2:5

Head to head

  • 12/31/25Israeli Premier League4:1
  • 12/30/25Israeli Premier League4:1
  • 09/14/25Israeli Premier League5:1
  • 09/14/25Israeli Premier League5:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Maccabi Haifa540112:712
3Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:410
4Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
5Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
6Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
7Ironi Tiberias52127:87
8Hapoel Haifa51317:66

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.