All matches

Gyeongnam — Chungnam Asan, K League 2

South Korea, K League 2

Gyeongnam
DWWDD
—
Chungnam Asan
WLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
31%28%41%
Gyeongnam31%Draw28%Chungnam Asan41%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gyeongnam31%3.20—
XDraw28%3.58—
2Chungnam Asan41%2.45—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.95

No49%

ours 2.05

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGyeongnamChungnam AsanCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded0.331.171.50
Corners8.08.28.1
Cards2.61.44.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

GyeongnamChungnam Asan

Gyeongnam FC 31%, Asan Mugunghwa FC 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

Gyeongnam FC 31%Draw 28%Asan Mugunghwa FC 41%
1st half
24 · 46 · 30
2nd half
25 · 42 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Gyeongnam

  • awayYongin FC0:0
  • homeSeongnam1:0
  • homePaju Frontier1:0
  • awayChungbuk Cheongju1:1
  • awayGimhae FC1:1

Chungnam Asan

  • homeCheonan City3:1
  • homeChungbuk Cheongju0:1
  • awaySuwon Samsung Bluewings0:2
  • homeYongin FC2:1
  • awayDaegu FC0:2

Head to head

  • 07/12/26K League 21:1
  • 10/12/25K League 20:1
  • 08/09/25K League 22:2
  • 05/17/25K League 21:3
  • 09/01/24K League 20:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Busan IPark26125941:3441
7Gimpo FC25811631:3035
8Chungnam Asan2597934:3134
9Gyeongnam25810731:3034
10Seongnam25710828:3031
11Paju Frontier25851224:2829

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.