Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.98
No50%
ours 2.02
All matches
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Greenock Morton — Queen's Park, Championship
Scotland, Championship
Greenock Morton
LLLLL
Queen's Park
LLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%31%26%
Greenock Morton43%Draw31%Queen's Park26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Greenock Morton2.33—
XDraw3.22—
2Queen's Park3.85—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Greenock MortonQueen's Park
Greenock Morton FC 43%, Queen's Park FC 26%. The safest is “Greenock Morton FC or draw” at 74%.
Greenock Morton FC 43%Draw 31%Queen's Park FC 26%
1st half
39 · 40 · 21
2nd half
32 · 41 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGreenock MortonQueen's ParkCombined
Goals scored0.500.501.00
Conceded1.831.173.00
Corners10.211.510.8
Cards1.22.53.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Greenock Morton
- homeRaith Rovers1:2
- awayInverness CT0:2
- homeDunfermline0:1
- homeLivingston FC1:4
- awayQueen's Park1:2
Queen's Park
- awayArbroath1:2
- homeAyr United0:2
- awayDunfermline0:2
- homeGreenock Morton2:1
- awayPartick Thistle0:0
Head to head
- 09/05/26Championship1:2
- 04/18/26Championship0:0
- 02/21/26Championship2:3
- 12/05/25Championship2:1
- 09/13/25Championship0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Arbroath93246:1311
Arbroath93246:13118
Inverness CT82429:910
Inverness CT82429:9109Queen's Park81164:134
Queen's Park81164:13410Greenock Morton90185:171
Greenock Morton90185:171Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.