All matches

Goztepe — Corum FK, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

Goztepe
2.1DDLLL
—
Corum FK
1.8LWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%25%26%
Goztepe49%Draw25%Corum FK26%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Goztepe49%2.05—
XDraw25%3.98—
2Corum FK26%3.82—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.58

No37%

ours 2.72

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGoztepeCorum FKCombined
Goals scored1.331.833.16
Conceded1.831.503.33
Corners9.510.39.9
Cards3.03.06.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

GoztepeCorum FK

Göztepe 49%, Çorum Belediye Spor Kulübü 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Göztepe 49%Draw 25%Çorum Belediye Spor Kulübü 26%
1st half
42 · 35 · 22
2nd half
35 · 36 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Goztepe

  • homeCaykur Rizespor2:2
  • awayAlanyaspor2:2
  • homeGaziantep2:4
  • awayGalatasaray2:3
  • homeGenclerbirligi0:1

Corum FK

  • homeAlanyaspor1:2
  • awaySamsunspor5:1
  • homeEyupspor3:0
  • awayBesiktas2:6
  • homeKasimpasa0:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Caykur Rizespor63127:610
10Gaziantep62227:78
11Corum FK621313:127
12Istanbul Basaksehir621310:117
13Genclerbirligi62135:137
14Erzurumspor62133:117
15Konyaspor61144:84
16Samsunspor61146:124
17Goztepe603311:153
18Eyupspor61052:163

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.