Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
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Piast Gliwice — Cracovia Krakow, Ekstraklasa
Poland, Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice
1.8LWWWD
Cracovia Krakow
1.8LLLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%25%26%
Piast Gliwice49%Draw25%Cracovia Krakow26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Piast Gliwice2.05—
XDraw3.93—
2Cracovia Krakow3.86—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPiast GliwiceCracovia KrakowCombined
Goals scored1.330.672.00
Conceded0.331.501.83
Corners11.09.510.3
Cards1.82.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Piast GliwiceCracovia Krakow
GKS Piast Gliwice 49%, MKS Cracovia Kraków 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
GKS Piast Gliwice 49%Draw 25%MKS Cracovia Kraków 26%
1st half
36 · 41 · 24
2nd half
36 · 37 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Piast Gliwice
- homePogon Szczecin1:2
- awayRadomiak Radom2:0
- homeGKS Katowice3:0
- awayMotor Lublin2:0
- homeLegia Warsaw1:1
Cracovia Krakow
- awayGKS Katowice2:3
- awayWisla Plock1:3
- homeGornik Zabrze0:1
- awayRadomiak Radom1:2
- homeWieczysta Krakow3:2
Head to head
- 02/27/26Ekstraklasa3:2
- 08/24/25Ekstraklasa0:0
- 12/08/24Ekstraklasa0:0
- 07/21/24Ekstraklasa1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Korona Kielce943212:1015
Korona Kielce943212:10157
Zaglebie Lubin943211:1015
Zaglebie Lubin943211:10158Piast Gliwice941416:1513
Piast Gliwice941416:15139
GKS Katowice840416:1312
GKS Katowice840416:131210
Jagiellonia840412:1312
Jagiellonia840412:131211
Wisla Plock83239:1211
Wisla Plock83239:121112
Widzew Lodz916213:139
Widzew Lodz916213:13913Cracovia Krakow92259:148
Cracovia Krakow92259:14814
Radomiak Radom92257:208
Radomiak Radom92257:20815
Slask Wroclaw913511:156
Slask Wroclaw913511:156Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.