Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.68
No41%
ours 2.46
All matches
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Girona — Celta Vigo II, Segunda División
Spain, Segunda División
Girona
1.4DWWLW
Celta Vigo II
1.8LDLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%24%23%
Girona53%Draw24%Celta Vigo II23%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Girona1.88—
XDraw4.13—
2Celta Vigo II4.44—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGironaCelta Vigo IICombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.501.672.17
Corners10.38.89.5
Cards1.82.03.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
GironaCelta Vigo II
Girona FC 53%, Real Club Celta de Vigo II 23%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Girona FC 53%Draw 24%Real Club Celta de Vigo II 23%
1st half
47 · 35 · 17
2nd half
33 · 39 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 6.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Girona
- homeMallorca0:0
- homeAlbacete2:0
- awayCadiz2:1
- homeCastellon1:2
- awaySporting Gijon2:0
Celta Vigo II
- awaySporting Gijon2:3
- homeSabadell1:1
- awayAlmeria0:2
- homeEibar0:4
- awayCeuta2:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Castellon862015:320
Castellon862015:3203
Almeria860213:518
Almeria860213:5184Girona842214:814
Girona842214:8145
Mallorca84228:314
Mallorca84228:3146
Burgos842212:914
Burgos842212:9147
Sabadell83418:613
Sabadell83418:6138
Sporting Gijon84138:813
Sporting Gijon84138:8139
Granada832313:1311
Granada832313:131110
Real Oviedo83238:811
Real Oviedo83238:81111
Las Palmas832312:1311
Las Palmas832312:131112
Tenerife832310:1211
Tenerife832310:121113
Leganes83236:1111
Leganes83236:111114
Real Valladolid82338:119
Real Valladolid82338:11915
Cordoba830513:189
Cordoba830513:18916
Real Sociedad II822411:138
Real Sociedad II822411:13817
Eldense82248:108
Eldense82248:10818Celta Vigo II822410:148
Celta Vigo II822410:14819
Cadiz814311:107
Cadiz814311:10720
Andorra821512:157
Andorra821512:157Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.